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Uncertain Emission Reductions from Forest Conservation: REDD+ in the Bale Mountains, Ethiopia

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dc.contributor.author Watson, Charlene
dc.contributor.author Mourato, Susana
dc.contributor.author Milner-Gulland, E. J.
dc.date.accessioned 2013-11-11T18:13:48Z
dc.date.available 2013-11-11T18:13:48Z
dc.date.issued 2013 en_US
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/10535/9143
dc.description.abstract "The environmental integrity of a mechanism rewarding Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD) depends on appropriate accounting for emission reductions. Largely stemming from a lack of forest data in developing countries, emission reductions accounting contains substantial uncertainty as a result of forest carbon stock estimates, where the application of biome-averaged data over large forest areas is commonplace. Using a case study in the Bale Mountains in Ethiopia, we exemplify the implications of primary and secondary forest carbon stock estimates on predicted REDD project emission reductions and revenues. Primary data estimate area-weighted mean forest carbon stock of 195 tC/ha ± 81, and biome-averaged data reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change underestimate forest carbon stock in the Bale Mountains by as much as 63% in moist forest and 58% in dry forest. Combining forest carbon stock estimates and uncertainty in voluntary carbon market prices demonstrates the financial impact of uncertainty: potential revenues over the 20-year project ranged between US$9 million and US$185 million. Estimated revenues will influence decisions to implement a project or not and may have profound implications for the level of benefit sharing that can be supported. Strong financial incentives exist to improve forest carbon stock estimates in tropical forests, as well as the environmental integrity of REDD projects." en_US
dc.language English en_US
dc.subject deforestation en_US
dc.subject REDD en_US
dc.subject uncertainty en_US
dc.subject emissions en_US
dc.title Uncertain Emission Reductions from Forest Conservation: REDD+ in the Bale Mountains, Ethiopia en_US
dc.type Journal Article en_US
dc.type.published published en_US
dc.type.methodology Case Study en_US
dc.coverage.region Africa en_US
dc.coverage.country Ethiopia en_US
dc.subject.sector Forestry en_US
dc.identifier.citationjournal Ecology and Society en_US
dc.identifier.citationvolume 18 en_US
dc.identifier.citationnumber 3 en_US
dc.identifier.citationmonth September en_US


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