India's Water Future to 2025-2050: Business-as-Usual Scenario and Deviations

Found at: https://hdl.handle.net/10535/4012
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Type:	Working Paper
Author:	Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Shah, Tushaar; Turral, Hugh; Anand, B. K.
Date:	2007
Agency:	International Water Management Institute, Colombo, Sri Lanka
Series:	IWMI Research Reports, no. 123
URI:	https://hdl.handle.net/10535/4012
Sector:	Social Organization Water Resource & Irrigation
Region:	Middle East & South Asia
Subject(s):	economic growth crops food supply river basins water management population growth groundwater irrigation diversity
Abstract:	"With a rapidly expanding economy many changes are taking place in India today. The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, which assumes the continuation of current trends of key water demand drivers, will meet the future food demand. However, it leads to a severe regional water crisis by 2050, where many river basins will reach closure, will be physically water-scarce and will have regions with severely overexploited groundwater resources. While the alternative scenarios of water demand show both optimistic and pessimistic water futures, the scenario with additional productivity growth is the most optimistic, with significant scope for reducing future water demand."

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