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Are We Entering an Era of Concatenated Global Crises?

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dc.contributor.author Biggs, Duan
dc.contributor.author Biggs, Reinette
dc.contributor.author Dakos, Vasilis
dc.contributor.author Scholes, Robert J.
dc.contributor.author Schoon, Michael L.
dc.date.accessioned 2011-09-28T15:53:34Z
dc.date.available 2011-09-28T15:53:34Z
dc.date.issued 2011 en_US
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/10535/7598
dc.description.abstract "An increase in the frequency and intensity of environmental crises associated with accelerating human-induced global change is of substantial concern to policy makers. The potential impacts, especially on the poor, are exacerbated in an increasingly connected world that enables the emergence of crises that are coupled in time and space. We discuss two factors that can interact to contribute to such an increased concatenation of crises: (1) the increasing strength of global vs. local drivers of change, so that changes become increasingly synchronized; and (2) unprecedented potential for the propagation of crises, and an enhanced risk of management interventions in one region becoming drivers elsewhere, because of increased connectivity. We discuss the oil-food-financial crisis of 2007 to 2008 as an example of a concatenated crisis with origin and ultimate impacts in far removed parts of the globe. The potential for a future of concatenated shocks requires adaptations in science and governance including (a) an increased tolerance of uncertainty and surprise, (b) strengthening capacity for early detection and response to shocks, and (c) flexibility in response to enable adaptation and learning." en_US
dc.language English en_US
dc.subject crises en_US
dc.subject natural disasters en_US
dc.subject food supply en_US
dc.subject governance and politics en_US
dc.subject learning en_US
dc.title Are We Entering an Era of Concatenated Global Crises? en_US
dc.type Journal Article en_US
dc.type.published published en_US
dc.type.methodology Case Study en_US
dc.subject.sector Global Commons en_US
dc.identifier.citationjournal Ecology and Society en_US
dc.identifier.citationvolume 16 en_US
dc.identifier.citationnumber 2 en_US
dc.identifier.citationmonth June en_US

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