Assessing Future Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of the Northern Highlands Lake District, Wisconsin

dc.contributor.authorPeterson, Garry D.en_US
dc.contributor.authorBeard, T. Douglasen_US
dc.contributor.authorBeisner, Beatrix E.en_US
dc.contributor.authorBennett, Elena M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorCarpenter, Stephenen_US
dc.contributor.authorCumming, Graeme S.en_US
dc.contributor.authorDent, C. Lisaen_US
dc.contributor.authorHavlicek, Tanya D.en_US
dc.coverage.countryUnited Statesen_US
dc.coverage.regionNorth Americaen_US
dc.description.abstract"The Northern Highlands Lake District of Wisconsin is in transition from a sparsely settled region to a more densely populated one. Expected changes offer benefits to northern Wisconsin residents but also threaten to degrade the ecological services they rely on. Because the future of this region is uncertain, it is difficult to make decisions that will avoid potential risks and take advantage of potential opportunities. We adopt a scenario planning approach to cope with this problem of prediction. We use an ecological assessment framework developed by the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment to determine key social and ecological driving forces in the Northern Highlands Lake District. From these, we describe three alternative scenarios to the year 2025 in which the projected use of ecological services is substantially different. The work reported in this paper demonstrates how scenarios can be developed for a region and provides a starting point for a participatory discussion of alternative futures for northern Wisconsin. Although the future is unknowable, we hope that the assessment process begun in this paper will help the people of the Northern Highlands Lake District choose the future path of their region."en_US
dc.identifier.citationjournalEcology and Societyen_US
dc.subjectwater resourcesen_US
dc.subjectlandscape changeen_US
dc.subjectnatural resourcesen_US
dc.subject.sectorSocial Organizationen_US
dc.subject.sectorGeneral & Multiple Resourcesen_US
dc.subject.sectorWater Resource & Irrigationen_US
dc.titleAssessing Future Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of the Northern Highlands Lake District, Wisconsinen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US


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