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Use of Complex Adaptive Systems for Modeling Global Change

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Type: Journal Article
Author: Janssen, Marco A.
Journal: Ecosystems
Volume: 1
Date: 1998
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10535/2630
Sector: Theory
Global Commons
Subject(s): Workshop
adaptive systems
global change
genetic resources
Abstract: "Global modeling has been used for decades to assess the possible futures of humanity and the global environment. However, these models do not always satisfactorily include the adaptive characteristics of systems. In this article, a general approach is used to simulate change and transition at a macrolevel due to adaptation at a microlevel. Tools from complex adaptive systems research are used to simulate the microlevel and consequently determine parameter values of the equation-based macrolevel model. Two case studies that applied this approach are reviewed. The first study assessed the efficacy of efforts to control malaria, whereas the second study used an integrated model to construct climate change scenarios by using various possible views on the nature of the climate system."

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